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PRT Portugal - League U23 · Wedstrijd ·

Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.53 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst30%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst43%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst43% selection probability
Projected score1–2Portimonense U23SC Farense U23
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
30% / 26% / 43%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Dubbele Kans1273.6%1.36
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenNee50%2.00
2.53 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapPortimonense U23 winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Portimonense U23 win30%3.332.9030.9%-0.9 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
SC Farense U23 win43%2.332.1042.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portimonense U230.96

Thuis share of expected goals 37.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%

SC Farense U231.57

Uit share of expected goals 62.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Portimonense U23

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

SC Farense U23

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
43%
1
Points from supplied form
11
0.96
Expected goals
1.57
Portimonense U23SC Farense U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portimonense U23 signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Farense U23 signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portimonense U23 gewonnen 30%,Gelijkspel 26%,SC Farense U23 gewonnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder