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PRT Portugal U23 League · Kamp ·

Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.53 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier30%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier43%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier43% selection probability
Projected score1–2Portimonense U23SC Farense U23
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
30% / 26% / 43%KampresultatBorteseier43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Dobbel sjanse1273.6%1.36
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 50% · Nei 50%Begge lag scorerNei50%2.00
2.53 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapPortimonense U23 winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Portimonense U23 win30%3.332.9030.9%-0.9 pp
Uavgjort26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
SC Farense U23 win43%2.332.1042.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portimonense U230.96

Hjemme share of expected goals 37.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

SC Farense U231.57

Borte share of expected goals 62.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 50% · Nei 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Portimonense U23

0.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poeng1

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

SC Farense U23

2.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poeng11

SignalBorte unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
43%
1
Points from supplied form
11
0.96
Expected goals
1.57
Portimonense U23SC Farense U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portimonense U23 signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Farense U23 signalBorte unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portimonense U23 vunnet 30%,Uavgjort 26%,SC Farense U23 vunnet 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under