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PRT Portugal - Liga sub-23 · Partido ·

Portimonense sub-23 vs SC Farense sub-23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–22.53 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local30%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante43%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante43% selection probability
Projected score1–2Portimonense sub-23SC Farense sub-23
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
30% / 26% / 43%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Doble Oportunidad1273.6%1.36
Más de 46% · Menos de 54%Goals 2.5Menos de54%1.85
Sí 50% · No 50%Ambos equipos marcanNo50%2.00
2.53 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
9.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapPortimonense sub-23 winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Portimonense sub-23 win30%3.332.9030.9%-0.9 pp
Empate26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
SC Farense sub-23 win43%2.332.1042.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portimonense sub-230.96

Local share of expected goals 37.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 46% · Menos de 54%

SC Farense sub-231.57

Visitante share of expected goals 62.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Portimonense sub-23

0.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

SC Farense sub-23

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Ganado probability excluding draw
43%
1
Points from supplied form
11
0.96
Expected goals
1.57
Portimonense sub-23SC Farense sub-23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portimonense sub-23 signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Farense sub-23 signalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Portimonense sub-23 vs SC Farense sub-23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portimonense sub-23 ganada 30%,Empate 26%,SC Farense sub-23 ganada 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Más de 2.5 46% · Current selection Menos de