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PRT Portugal U23 League · Match ·

Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.53 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger30%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger43%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger43% selection probability
Projected score1–2Portimonense U23SC Farense U23
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
30% / 26% / 43%MatchresultatBortaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Dubbelchans1273.6%1.36
Över 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Båda lagen gör målNej50%2.00
2.53 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapPortimonense U23 winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Portimonense U23 win30%3.332.9030.9%-0.9 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
SC Farense U23 win43%2.332.1042.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Portimonense U230.96

Hemma share of expected goals 37.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 46% · Under 54%

SC Farense U231.57

Borta share of expected goals 62.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Portimonense U23

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

SC Farense U23

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalBorta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
43%
1
Points from supplied form
11
0.96
Expected goals
1.57
Portimonense U23SC Farense U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Portimonense U23 signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Farense U23 signalBorta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Portimonense U23 vunnen 30%,Oavgjort 26%,SC Farense U23 vunnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Över 2.5 46% · Current selection Under