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PRT Portugalia - Liga U23 · Mecz ·

Leixoes U23 vs UD Leiria U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy55%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości21%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Leixoes U23UD Leiria U23
Expected goals3.24Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej63% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
55% / 24% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Leiria U23 win (21.1%)Podwójna szansa1X78.9%1.27
Powyżej 63% · Poniżej 37%Goals 2.5Powyżej63%1.59
Tak 56% · Nie 44%Obie drużyny strzeląTak56%1.79
3.24 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.1 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapUD Leiria U23 winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leixoes U23 win55%1.821.6554.3%+0.7 pp
Remis24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
UD Leiria U23 win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leixoes U232.28

Gospodarze share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals3.24Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 63% · Poniżej 37%

UD Leiria U230.96

Goście share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 56% · Nie 44%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Leixoes U23

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

UD Leiria U23

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
11
2.28
Expected goals
0.96
Leixoes U23UD Leiria U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leixoes U23 signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Leiria U23 signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Leixoes U23 vs UD Leiria U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leixoes U23 wygrana 55%,Remis 24%,UD Leiria U23 wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Powyżej 2.5 63% · Current selection Powyżej