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Mjällby AIF vs Elfsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst52%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst21%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mjällby AIFElfsborg
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
52% / 28% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Elfsborg win (20.7%)Dubbele Kans1X79.3%1.26
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.51 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Mjällby AIF win52%1.92
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Elfsborg win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mjällby AIF1.74

Thuis share of expected goals 69.3%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%

Elfsborg0.77

Uit share of expected goals 30.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Mjällby AIF

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Elfsborg

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.74
Expected goals
0.77
Mjällby AIFElfsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mjällby AIF signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Elfsborg signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Mjällby AIF vs Elfsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mjällby AIF gewonnen 52%,Gelijkspel 28%,Elfsborg gewonnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder