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SWE Sweden Allsvenskan · Матч ·

Мьельбю vs Эльфсборг

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев52%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев52% selection probability
Projected score2–1МьельбюЭльфсборг
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
52% / 28% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Эльфсборг win (20.7%)Двойной шанс1X79.3%1.26
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 45% · Нет 55%Обе забьютНет55%1.82
2.51 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.0 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Мьельбю win52%1.92
Ничья28%3.57
Эльфсборг win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мьельбю1.74

Хозяева share of expected goals 69.3%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

Эльфсборг0.77

Гости share of expected goals 30.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Нет 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Мьельбю

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Эльфсборг

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.74
Expected goals
0.77
МьельбюЭльфсборг
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мьельбю signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Эльфсборг signalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Мьельбю vs Эльфсборг FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мьельбю выигрыш 52%,Ничья 28%,Эльфсборг выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше