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SWE Sweden Allsvenskan · Match ·

Mjällby AIF vs Elfsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile52%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mjällby AIFElfsborg
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
52% / 28% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Elfsborg win (20.8%)Double chance1X79.2%1.26
Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%Goals 2.5Moins de54%1.85
Oui 44% · Non 56%Les deux équipes marquentNon56%1.79
2.51 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Mjällby AIF win52%1.92
Nul28%3.57
Elfsborg win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mjällby AIF1.74

Domicile share of expected goals 69.3%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%

Elfsborg0.77

Extérieur share of expected goals 30.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 44% · Non 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Mjällby AIF

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Elfsborg

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.74
Expected goals
0.77
Mjällby AIFElfsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mjällby AIF signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Elfsborg signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Mjällby AIF vs Elfsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mjällby AIF victoire 52%,Nul 28%,Elfsborg victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Plus de 2.5 46% · Current selection Moins de