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Mjällby AIF vs IF Elfsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger52%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger21%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mjällby AIFIF Elfsborg
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
52% / 28% / 21%MatchresultatHemmaseger52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IF Elfsborg win (20.7%)Dubbelchans1X79.3%1.26
Över 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Båda lagen gör målNej55%1.82
2.51 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Mjällby AIF win52%1.92
Oavgjort28%3.57
IF Elfsborg win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mjällby AIF1.74

Hemma share of expected goals 69.3%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 46% · Under 54%

IF Elfsborg0.77

Borta share of expected goals 30.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Mjällby AIF

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

IF Elfsborg

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.74
Expected goals
0.77
Mjällby AIFIF Elfsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mjällby AIF signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IF Elfsborg signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Mjällby AIF vs IF Elfsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mjällby AIF vunnen 52%,Oavgjort 28%,IF Elfsborg vunnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Över 2.5 46% · Current selection Under