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SWE スウェーデン アルスヴェンスカン · 試合 ·

ミャルビーAIF vs エルフスボリ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利52%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利21%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利52% selection probability
Projected score2–1ミャルビーAIFエルフスボリ
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
52% / 28% / 21%試合結果ホーム勝利52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes エルフスボリ win (20.7%)ダブルチャンス1X79.3%1.26
オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%Goals 2.5アンダー54%1.85
はい 45% · いいえ 55%両チーム得点いいえ55%1.82
2.51 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.0 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ミャルビーAIF win52%1.92
引き分け28%3.57
エルフスボリ win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ミャルビーAIF1.74

ホーム share of expected goals 69.3%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%

エルフスボリ0.77

アウェイ share of expected goals 30.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 45% · いいえ 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ミャルビーAIF

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

エルフスボリ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
勝ち probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.74
Expected goals
0.77
ミャルビーAIFエルフスボリ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ミャルビーAIF signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02エルフスボリ signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ミャルビーAIF vs エルフスボリ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ミャルビーAIF 勝ち 52%,引き分け 28%,エルフスボリ 勝ち 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · オーバー 2.5 46% · Current selection アンダー