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SWE Sweden Allsvenskan · Wedstrijd ·

Orgryte IS vs AIK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.87 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst31%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst43%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst43% selection probability
Projected score1–2Orgryte ISAIK
Expected goals2.87Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven55% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
31% / 26% / 43%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dubbele Kans1274%1.35
Boven 55% · Onder 45%Goals 2.5Boven55%1.82
Ja 58% · Nee 42%Beide teams scorenJa58%1.72
2.87 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
10.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapOrgryte IS winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Orgryte IS win31%3.233.0031.3%-0.3 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
AIK win43%2.332.2042.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Orgryte IS1.26

Thuis share of expected goals 43.9%

Total expected goals2.87Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 55% · Onder 45%

AIK1.61

Uit share of expected goals 56.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 58% · Nee 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Orgryte IS

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

AIK

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
43%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.26
Expected goals
1.61
Orgryte ISAIK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Orgryte IS signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AIK signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Orgryte IS vs AIK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Orgryte IS gewonnen 31%,Gelijkspel 26%,AIK gewonnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.87 · Boven 2.5 55% · Current selection Boven