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SWE Sweden Allsvenskan · Partita ·

Orgryte IS vs AIK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–22.87 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa31%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite41%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite41% selection probability
Projected score1–2Orgryte ISAIK
Expected goals2.87Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra55% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
31% / 28% / 41%Esito partitaVittoria ospite41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Doppia Chance1272.2%1.39
Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%Goals 2.5Sopra55%1.82
Sì 58% · No 42%Entrambe le squadre segnano58%1.72
2.87 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Orgryte IS win31%3.23
Pareggio28%3.57
AIK win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Orgryte IS1.26

Casa share of expected goals 43.9%

Total expected goals2.87Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%

AIK1.61

Trasferta share of expected goals 56.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Orgryte IS

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

AIK

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vinta probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.26
Expected goals
1.61
Orgryte ISAIK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Orgryte IS signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AIK signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Orgryte IS vs AIK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Orgryte IS vinta 31%,Pareggio 28%,AIK vinta 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.87 · Sopra 2.5 55% · Current selection Sopra