Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
16% / 20% / 64%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excelsior win (15.7%)Dubbele KansX284.3%1.19
Boven 73% · Onder 27%Goals 2.5Boven73%1.37
Ja 68% · Nee 32%Beide teams scorenJa68%1.47
3.81 total expected goalsExacte score1–2——
10.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin3.7%Largest probability gapExcelsior winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior win16%6.256.2515.4%+0.6 pp
Gelijkspel20%5.004.7520.3%-0.3 pp
PSV win64%1.561.5064.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 34.9%
Total expected goals3.81Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 73% · Onder 27%
Uit share of expected goals 65.1%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 68% · Nee 32%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchExcelsior
WWWWD
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13
SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchPSV
DWLDW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
16%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
64%13
Points from supplied form
81.33
Expected goals
2.48ExcelsiorPSV
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
Excelsior vs PSV FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 64% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Excelsior gewonnen 16%，Gelijkspel 20%，PSV gewonnen 64%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.81 · Boven 2.5 73% · Current selection Boven。