MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eredivisie · Wedstrijd ·

FC Twente vs PEC Zwolle

Archived pre-match prediction

Thuis form
Projected score3–13.36 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst74%
Gelijkspel16%
Uitwinst10%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst74% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC TwentePEC Zwolle
Expected goals3.36Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven65% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
74% / 16% / 10%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes PEC Zwolle win (9.9%)Dubbele Kans1X90.1%1.11
Boven 65% · Onder 35%Goals 2.5Boven65%1.54
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
3.36 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Twente win74%1.351.2773.8%+0.2 pp
Gelijkspel16%6.255.7516.3%-0.3 pp
PEC Zwolle win10%10.009.509.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Twente2.53

Thuis share of expected goals 75.3%

Total expected goals3.36Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 65% · Onder 35%

PEC Zwolle0.83

Uit share of expected goals 24.7%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Twente

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

PEC Zwolle

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalUit failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
10%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.53
Expected goals
0.83
FC TwentePEC Zwolle
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Twente signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PEC Zwolle signalUit failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

FC Twente vs PEC Zwolle FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Twente gewonnen 74%,Gelijkspel 16%,PEC Zwolle gewonnen 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Boven 2.5 65% · Current selection Boven