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UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eredivisie · Wedstrijd ·

Willem II vs N.E.C.

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–23.03 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst21%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst57%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst57% selection probability
Projected score1–2Willem IIN.E.C.
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
21% / 22% / 57%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Willem II win (21%)Dubbele KansX279%1.27
Boven 59% · Onder 41%Goals 2.5Boven59%1.69
Ja 61% · Nee 39%Beide teams scorenJa61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Willem II win21%4.765.0018.7%
Gelijkspel22%4.554.3321.6%
N.E.C. win57%1.751.5759.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Willem II1.25

Thuis share of expected goals 41.3%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 59% · Onder 41%

N.E.C.1.78

Uit share of expected goals 58.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 61% · Nee 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Willem II

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

N.E.C.

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
57%
10
Points from supplied form
5
1.25
Expected goals
1.78
Willem IIN.E.C.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Willem II signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02N.E.C. signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Willem II vs N.E.C. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Willem II gewonnen 21%,Gelijkspel 22%,N.E.C. gewonnen 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Boven 2.5 59% · Current selection Boven