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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Wedstrijd ·

Viborg vs AGF Aarhus

Archived pre-match prediction

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.75 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst35%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst39%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst39% selection probability
Projected score1–2ViborgAGF Aarhus
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
35% / 26% / 39%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Dubbele Kans1273.7%1.36
Boven 52% · Onder 48%Goals 2.5Boven52%1.92
Ja 54% · Nee 46%Beide teams scorenJa54%1.85
2.75 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapAGF Aarhus winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Viborg win35%2.862.5536.1%-1.1 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5026.3%-0.3 pp
AGF Aarhus win39%2.562.4537.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viborg1.06

Thuis share of expected goals 38.5%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 52% · Onder 48%

AGF Aarhus1.69

Uit share of expected goals 61.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 54% · Nee 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Viborg

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

AGF Aarhus

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
39%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.06
Expected goals
1.69
ViborgAGF Aarhus
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viborg signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AGF Aarhus signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Viborg vs AGF Aarhus FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viborg gewonnen 35%,Gelijkspel 26%,AGF Aarhus gewonnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Boven 2.5 52% · Current selection Boven