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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Fixture ·

Viborg vs AGF Aarhus

Archived pre-match prediction

Home form
Projected score1–22.75 expected goals
Away form
Home win35%
Draw26%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score1–2ViborgAGF Aarhus
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 26% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Double chance1273.7%1.36
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.75 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapAGF Aarhus winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Viborg win35%2.862.5536.1%-1.1 pp
Draw26%3.853.5026.3%-0.3 pp
AGF Aarhus win39%2.562.4537.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viborg1.06

Home share of expected goals 38.5%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

AGF Aarhus1.69

Away share of expected goals 61.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Viborg

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

AGF Aarhus

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.06
Expected goals
1.69
ViborgAGF Aarhus
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viborg signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AGF Aarhus signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Viborg vs AGF Aarhus FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viborg win 35%,Draw 26%,AGF Aarhus win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over