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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Match ·

Viborg vs AGF Århus

Archived pre-match prediction

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.75 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger35%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger39%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–2ViborgAGF Århus
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
35% / 26% / 39%MatchresultatBortaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Dubbelchans1273.7%1.36
Över 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Över52%1.92
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.75 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapAGF Århus winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Viborg win35%2.862.5536.1%-1.1 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.5026.3%-0.3 pp
AGF Århus win39%2.562.4537.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viborg1.06

Hemma share of expected goals 38.5%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 52% · Under 48%

AGF Århus1.69

Borta share of expected goals 61.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Viborg

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

AGF Århus

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
39%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.06
Expected goals
1.69
ViborgAGF Århus
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viborg signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AGF Århus signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Viborg vs AGF Århus FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viborg vunnen 35%,Oavgjort 26%,AGF Århus vunnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Över 2.5 52% · Current selection Över