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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Fixture ·

Sonderjyske vs Viborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.61 expected goals
Away form
Home win28%
Draw25%
Away win47%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win47% selection probability
Projected score1–1SonderjyskeViborg
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 25% / 47%Match resultAway win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Double chance1274.7%1.34
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.61 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapSonderjyske winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sonderjyske win28%3.573.5026.8%+1.2 pp
Draw25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
Viborg win47%2.131.9548.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sonderjyske1.32

Home share of expected goals 50.6%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Viborg1.29

Away share of expected goals 49.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sonderjyske

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Viborg

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
47%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
1.29
SonderjyskeViborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sonderjyske signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Viborg signalAway clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Sonderjyske vs Viborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sonderjyske win 28%,Draw 25%,Viborg win 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under