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NLD Nederländerna - Eredivisie · Match ·

Willem II vs NEC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–23.03 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger21%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger57%
Market-based forecastBortasegerTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger57% selection probability
Projected score1–2Willem IINEC
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över59% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
21% / 22% / 57%MatchresultatBortaseger57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Willem II win (21%)DubbelchansX279%1.27
Över 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Över59%1.69
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Båda lagen gör målJa61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.4 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Willem II win21%4.765.0018.7%
Oavgjort22%4.554.3321.6%
NEC win57%1.751.5759.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Willem II1.25

Hemma share of expected goals 41.3%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 59% · Under 41%

NEC1.78

Borta share of expected goals 58.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Willem II

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

NEC

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
57%
10
Points from supplied form
5
1.25
Expected goals
1.78
Willem IINEC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Willem II signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NEC signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Willem II vs NEC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Willem II vunnen 21%,Oavgjort 22%,NEC vunnen 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Över 2.5 59% · Current selection Över