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ESP Spanien - Segunda División · Match ·

Real Sociedad B vs CD Castellon

Archived pre-match prediction

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger31%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger41%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger41% selection probability
Projected score1–2Real Sociedad BCD Castellon
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
31% / 27% / 41%MatchresultatBortaseger41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Dubbelchans1272.5%1.38
Över 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Över56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Båda lagen gör målJa59%1.69
2.92 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Real Sociedad B win31%3.23
Oavgjort27%3.70
CD Castellon win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Sociedad B1.28

Hemma share of expected goals 43.8%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 56% · Under 44%

CD Castellon1.64

Borta share of expected goals 56.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Real Sociedad B

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

CD Castellon

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
41%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.28
Expected goals
1.64
Real Sociedad BCD Castellon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Sociedad B signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Castellon signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Real Sociedad B vs CD Castellon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Sociedad B vunnen 31%,Oavgjort 27%,CD Castellon vunnen 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Över 2.5 56% · Current selection Över