What is the Real Sociedad B vs CD Castellon prediction?

The original pre-match prediction is Away win, with a projected score of 1–2 and a selected-call probability of 41%.

What are the Real Sociedad B vs CD Castellon 1X2 probabilities?

Real Sociedad B win 31%, draw 27%, and CD Castellon win 41%.

How many goals are expected in Real Sociedad B vs CD Castellon?

The displayed projection is 2.92 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 56%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

ESP Spain Segunda · Fixture · Sat, Aug 15, 02:30

Real Sociedad B vs CD Castellon

Archived pre-match prediction

Home form

Projected score1–22.92 expected goals

Away form

Home win31%

Draw27%

Away win41%

Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability

Projected score1–2Real Sociedad B — CD Castellon

Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile

Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side

Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side

Expected corners9.4Under 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

31% / 27% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44

Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Double chance1272.6%1.38

Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79

Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72

2.92 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——

9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——

Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds

Real Sociedad B win31%3.23

Draw27%3.70

CD Castellon win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Sociedad B1.28

Home share of expected goals 43.8%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

CD Castellon1.64

Away share of expected goals 56.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Real Sociedad B

1.20pts / match

Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

CD Castellon

1.60pts / match

Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

31%

Win probability excluding draw

41%

Points from supplied form

1.28

Expected goals

1.64

Real Sociedad BCD Castellon

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Sociedad B signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Castellon signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions