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SWE Sweden 1.div Norra · Fixture ·

Assyriska Föreningen vs Sollentuna FK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.80 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw26%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Assyriska FöreningenSollentuna FK
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 26% / 34%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Double chance1274.3%1.35
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.80 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Assyriska Föreningen win40%2.502.2540%0.0 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Sollentuna FK win34%2.942.6334.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Assyriska Föreningen1.48

Home share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

Sollentuna FK1.32

Away share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Assyriska Föreningen

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sollentuna FK

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.48
Expected goals
1.32
Assyriska FöreningenSollentuna FK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Assyriska Föreningen signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sollentuna FK signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Assyriska Föreningen vs Sollentuna FK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Assyriska Föreningen win 40%,Draw 26%,Sollentuna FK win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over