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INT UEFA Conference League Qualifying · Wedstrijd ·

FC Ilves vs HNK Rijeka

Archived pre-match prediction

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.72 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst20%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst54%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 54% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst54% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC IlvesHNK Rijeka
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
20% / 26% / 54%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Ilves win (20.3%)Dubbele KansX279.7%1.25
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
2.72 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Ilves win20%5.005.0018.1%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.6025.2%
HNK Rijeka win54%1.851.6056.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ilves1.11

Thuis share of expected goals 40.8%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

HNK Rijeka1.61

Uit share of expected goals 59.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Ilves

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

HNK Rijeka

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
54%
7
Points from supplied form
15
1.11
Expected goals
1.61
FC IlvesHNK Rijeka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ilves signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Rijeka signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Ilves vs HNK Rijeka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ilves gewonnen 20%,Gelijkspel 26%,HNK Rijeka gewonnen 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven