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NLD Нидерландия - Ередивизия · Final ·

Екселсиор vs ПСВ

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score1–2Прогноза 1–2
Гост form
Победа за домакина16%
Равен20%
Победа за госта64%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 64% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта64% selection probability
Projected score1–2ЕкселсиорПСВ
Expected goals3.81Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над73% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
16% / 20% / 64%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Екселсиор win (15.7%)Двоен шансX284.3%1.19
Над 73% · Под 27%Goals 2.5Над73%1.37
Да 68% · Не 32%И двата отбора да отбележатДа68%1.47
3.81 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
10.5 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin3.7%Largest probability gapЕкселсиор winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Екселсиор win16%6.256.2515.4%+0.6 pp
Равен20%5.004.7520.3%-0.3 pp
ПСВ win64%1.561.5064.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Екселсиор1.33

Домакин share of expected goals 34.9%

Total expected goals3.81Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 73% · Под 27%

ПСВ2.48

Гост share of expected goals 65.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 68% · Не 32%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Екселсиор

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ПСВ

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
64%
13
Points from supplied form
8
1.33
Expected goals
2.48
ЕкселсиорПСВ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Екселсиор signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ПСВ signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Екселсиор vs ПСВ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Екселсиор печеливш 16%,Равен 20%,ПСВ печеливш 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.81 · Над 2.5 73% · Current selection Над