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NLD Netherlands Eredivisie · Final ·

Excelsior vs PSV

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–2Prognose 1–2
Borte form
Hjemmeseier16%
Uavgjort20%
Borteseier64%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 64% selection probability
Prediction Vunnet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier64% selection probability
Projected score1–2ExcelsiorPSV
Expected goals3.81Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over73% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
16% / 20% / 64%KampresultatBorteseier64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excelsior win (15.7%)Dobbel sjanseX284.3%1.19
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Ja 68% · Nei 32%Begge lag scorerJa68%1.47
3.81 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin3.7%Largest probability gapExcelsior winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior win16%6.256.2515.4%+0.6 pp
Uavgjort20%5.004.7520.3%-0.3 pp
PSV win64%1.561.5064.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior1.33

Hjemme share of expected goals 34.9%

Total expected goals3.81Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%

PSV2.48

Borte share of expected goals 65.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 68% · Nei 32%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poeng13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

PSV

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
64%
13
Points from supplied form
8
1.33
Expected goals
2.48
ExcelsiorPSV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PSV signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Excelsior vs PSV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–2 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior vunnet 16%,Uavgjort 20%,PSV vunnet 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.81 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over