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NLD Нидерланды - Эредивизи · Final ·

Эксельсиор vs ПСВ

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–2Прогноз 1–2
Гости form
Победа хозяев16%
Ничья20%
Победа гостей64%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 64% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей64% selection probability
Projected score1–2ЭксельсиорПСВ
Expected goals3.81Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше73% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
16% / 20% / 64%Исход матчаПобеда гостей64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Эксельсиор win (15.7%)Двойной шансX284.3%1.19
Больше 73% · Меньше 27%Goals 2.5Больше73%1.37
Да 68% · Нет 32%Обе забьютДа68%1.47
3.81 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
10.5 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin3.7%Largest probability gapЭксельсиор winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Эксельсиор win16%6.256.2515.4%+0.6 pp
Ничья20%5.004.7520.3%-0.3 pp
ПСВ win64%1.561.5064.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Эксельсиор1.33

Хозяева share of expected goals 34.9%

Total expected goals3.81Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 73% · Меньше 27%

ПСВ2.48

Гости share of expected goals 65.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 68% · Нет 32%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Эксельсиор

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ПСВ

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
64%
13
Points from supplied form
8
1.33
Expected goals
2.48
ЭксельсиорПСВ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Эксельсиор signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ПСВ signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Эксельсиор vs ПСВ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Эксельсиор выигрыш 16%,Ничья 20%,ПСВ выигрыш 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.81 · ТБ 2.5 73% · Current selection Больше