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NLD Pays-Bas - Eredivisie · Final ·

Excelsior vs PSV

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–2Pronostic 1–2
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile16%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur64%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 64% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur64% selection probability
Projected score1–2ExcelsiorPSV
Expected goals3.81Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de73% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
16% / 20% / 64%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excelsior win (15.7%)Double chanceX284.3%1.19
Plus de 73% · Moins de 27%Goals 2.5Plus de73%1.37
Oui 68% · Non 32%Les deux équipes marquentOui68%1.47
3.81 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin3.7%Largest probability gapExcelsior winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior win16%6.256.2515.4%+0.6 pp
Nul20%5.004.7520.3%-0.3 pp
PSV win64%1.561.5064.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior1.33

Domicile share of expected goals 34.9%

Total expected goals3.81Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 73% · Moins de 27%

PSV2.48

Extérieur share of expected goals 65.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 68% · Non 32%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

PSV

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Gagné probability excluding draw
64%
13
Points from supplied form
8
1.33
Expected goals
2.48
ExcelsiorPSV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PSV signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Excelsior vs PSV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior victoire 16%,Nul 20%,PSV victoire 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.81 · Plus de 2.5 73% · Current selection Plus de