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NLD Pays-Bas - Eredivisie · Match ·

FC Utrecht vs AZ

Archived pre-match prediction

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile40%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur35%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile40% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC UtrechtAZ
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
40% / 25% / 35%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Double chance1274.7%1.34
Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%Goals 2.5Plus de54%1.85
Oui 56% · Non 44%Les deux équipes marquentOui56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapFC Utrecht winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Utrecht win40%2.502.4039%+1.0 pp
Nul25%4.003.7025.3%-0.3 pp
AZ win35%2.862.6335.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Utrecht1.71

Domicile share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%

AZ1.13

Extérieur share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 56% · Non 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FC Utrecht

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

AZ

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gagné probability excluding draw
35%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.71
Expected goals
1.13
FC UtrechtAZ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Utrecht signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AZ signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Utrecht vs AZ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Utrecht victoire 40%,Nul 25%,AZ victoire 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Plus de 2.5 54% · Current selection Plus de