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NLD Нидерландия - Ередивизия · Мач ·

Утрехт vs АЗ

Archived pre-match prediction

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина40%
Равен25%
Победа за госта35%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина40% selection probability
Projected score2–1УтрехтАЗ
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
40% / 25% / 35%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Двоен шанс1274.7%1.34
Над 54% · Под 46%Goals 2.5Над54%1.85
Да 56% · Не 44%И двата отбора да отбележатДа56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapУтрехт winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Утрехт win40%2.502.4039%+1.0 pp
Равен25%4.003.7025.3%-0.3 pp
АЗ win35%2.862.6335.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Утрехт1.71

Домакин share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 54% · Под 46%

АЗ1.13

Гост share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Не 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Утрехт

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

АЗ

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
35%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.71
Expected goals
1.13
УтрехтАЗ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Утрехт signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02АЗ signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Утрехт vs АЗ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Утрехт печеливш 40%,Равен 25%,АЗ печеливш 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Над 2.5 54% · Current selection Над