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FC Utrecht vs AZ

Archived pre-match prediction

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr40%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr35%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr40% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC UtrechtAZ
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
40% / 25% / 35%KampresultatHjemmesejr40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Dobbeltchance1274.7%1.34
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Begge hold scorerJa56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapFC Utrecht winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Utrecht win40%2.502.4039%+1.0 pp
Uafgjort25%4.003.7025.3%-0.3 pp
AZ win35%2.862.6335.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Utrecht1.71

Hjemme share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

AZ1.13

Ude share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Utrecht

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

AZ

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Point7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vundet probability excluding draw
35%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.71
Expected goals
1.13
FC UtrechtAZ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Utrecht signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AZ signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Utrecht vs AZ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Utrecht vundet 40%,Uafgjort 25%,AZ vundet 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over