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NLD Niederlande - Eredivisie · Spiel ·

FC Utrecht vs AZ

Archived pre-match prediction

Heim form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg40%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg35%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg40% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC UtrechtAZ
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
40% / 25% / 35%SpielergebnisHeimsieg40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Doppelte Chance1274.7%1.34
Über 54% · Unter 46%Goals 2.5Über54%1.85
Ja 56% · Nein 44%Beide Teams treffenJa56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapFC Utrecht winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Utrecht win40%2.502.4039%+1.0 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.7025.3%-0.3 pp
AZ win35%2.862.6335.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Utrecht1.71

Heim share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 54% · Unter 46%

AZ1.13

Auswärts share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nein 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Utrecht

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

AZ

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
35%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.71
Expected goals
1.13
FC UtrechtAZ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Utrecht signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AZ signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Utrecht vs AZ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Utrecht Gewinn 40%,Unentschieden 25%,AZ Gewinn 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Über 2.5 54% · Current selection Über