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NLD Нидерланды - Эредивизи · Матч ·

ФК Утрехт vs АЗ

Archived pre-match prediction

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей35%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФК УтрехтАЗ
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 25% / 35%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Двойной шанс1274.7%1.34
Больше 54% · Меньше 46%Goals 2.5Больше54%1.85
Да 56% · Нет 44%Обе забьютДа56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapФК Утрехт winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Утрехт win40%2.502.4039%+1.0 pp
Ничья25%4.003.7025.3%-0.3 pp
АЗ win35%2.862.6335.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Утрехт1.71

Хозяева share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 54% · Меньше 46%

АЗ1.13

Гости share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Нет 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Утрехт

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

АЗ

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
35%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.71
Expected goals
1.13
ФК УтрехтАЗ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Утрехт signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02АЗ signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ФК Утрехт vs АЗ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Утрехт выигрыш 40%,Ничья 25%,АЗ выигрыш 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · ТБ 2.5 54% · Current selection Больше