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NLD Holandia - Eredivisie · Final ·

Excelsior vs PSV

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score1–2Prognoza 1–2
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy16%
Remis20%
Wygrana gości64%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 64% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości64% selection probability
Projected score1–2ExcelsiorPSV
Expected goals3.81Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej73% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
16% / 20% / 64%Wynik meczuWygrana gości64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excelsior win (15.7%)Podwójna szansaX284.3%1.19
Powyżej 73% · Poniżej 27%Goals 2.5Powyżej73%1.37
Tak 68% · Nie 32%Obie drużyny strzeląTak68%1.47
3.81 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
10.5 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin3.7%Largest probability gapExcelsior winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior win16%6.256.2515.4%+0.6 pp
Remis20%5.004.7520.3%-0.3 pp
PSV win64%1.561.5064.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior1.33

Gospodarze share of expected goals 34.9%

Total expected goals3.81Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 73% · Poniżej 27%

PSV2.48

Goście share of expected goals 65.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 68% · Nie 32%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

PSV

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
64%
13
Points from supplied form
8
1.33
Expected goals
2.48
ExcelsiorPSV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PSV signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Excelsior vs PSV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior wygrana 16%,Remis 20%,PSV wygrana 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.81 · Powyżej 2.5 73% · Current selection Powyżej