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NLD Tarile de Jos - Eredivisie · Final ·

Excelsior vs PSV

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score1–2Predicție 1–2
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde16%
Egal20%
Victorie oaspeți64%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 64% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți64% selection probability
Projected score1–2ExcelsiorPSV
Expected goals3.81Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste73% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
16% / 20% / 64%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excelsior win (15.7%)Șansă dublăX284.3%1.19
Peste 73% · Sub 27%Goals 2.5Peste73%1.37
Da 68% · Nu 32%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa68%1.47
3.81 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin3.7%Largest probability gapExcelsior winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior win16%6.256.2515.4%+0.6 pp
Egal20%5.004.7520.3%-0.3 pp
PSV win64%1.561.5064.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior1.33

Gazde share of expected goals 34.9%

Total expected goals3.81Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 73% · Sub 27%

PSV2.48

Oaspeți share of expected goals 65.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 68% · Nu 32%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

PSV

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Câștig probability excluding draw
64%
13
Points from supplied form
8
1.33
Expected goals
2.48
ExcelsiorPSV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PSV signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Excelsior vs PSV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior câștig 16%,Egal 20%,PSV câștig 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.81 · Peste 2.5 73% · Current selection Peste