Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
62% / 22% / 16%KampresultatHjemmeseier62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Heerenveen win (16%)Dobbel sjanse1X84%1.19
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Ja 54% · Nei 46%Begge lag scorerJa54%1.85
2.86 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1——
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapAjax winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ajax win62%1.611.5062.6%-0.6 pp
Uavgjort22%4.554.3321.7%+0.3 pp
Heerenveen win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Hjemme share of expected goals 64.7%
Total expected goals2.86Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%
Borte share of expected goals 35.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nei 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Hjemme-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchAjax
WWWWW
Spilt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Poeng15
SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5
Borte-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchHeerenveen
WLDWW
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10
SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
62%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
16%15
Points from supplied form
101.85
Expected goals
1.01AjaxHeerenveen
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Ajax vs Heerenveen FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Ajax vunnet 62%，Uavgjort 22%，Heerenveen vunnet 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.86 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over。