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Ajax vs Heerenveen

Archived pre-match prediction

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa62%
Empate22%
Vitória visitante16%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa62% selection probability
Projected score2–1AjaxHeerenveen
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima54% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
62% / 22% / 16%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Heerenveen win (16%)Dupla Chance1X84%1.19
Acima 54% · Abaixo 46%Goals 2.5Acima54%1.85
Sim 54% · Não 46%Ambas as equipes marcamSim54%1.85
2.86 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.0 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapAjax winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ajax win62%1.611.5062.6%-0.6 pp
Empate22%4.554.3321.7%+0.3 pp
Heerenveen win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ajax1.85

Mandante share of expected goals 64.7%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 54% · Abaixo 46%

Heerenveen1.01

Visitante share of expected goals 35.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 54% · Não 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Ajax

3.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontos15

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Heerenveen

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
16%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.85
Expected goals
1.01
AjaxHeerenveen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ajax signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Heerenveen signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ajax vs Heerenveen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ajax ganhou 62%,Empate 22%,Heerenveen ganhou 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Acima 2.5 54% · Current selection Acima