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アヤックス vs ヘーレンフェーン

Archived pre-match prediction

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利62%
引き分け22%
アウェイ勝利16%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利62% selection probability
Projected score2–1アヤックスヘーレンフェーン
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
62% / 22% / 16%試合結果ホーム勝利62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ヘーレンフェーン win (16%)ダブルチャンス1X84%1.19
オーバー 54% · アンダー 46%Goals 2.5オーバー54%1.85
はい 54% · いいえ 46%両チーム得点はい54%1.85
2.86 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.0 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapアヤックス winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アヤックス win62%1.611.5062.6%-0.6 pp
引き分け22%4.554.3321.7%+0.3 pp
ヘーレンフェーン win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アヤックス1.85

ホーム share of expected goals 64.7%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 54% · アンダー 46%

ヘーレンフェーン1.01

アウェイ share of expected goals 35.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 54% · いいえ 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アヤックス

3.00pts / match
試合数5Wins5Drawn0Losses0ポイント15

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヘーレンフェーン

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
勝ち probability excluding draw
16%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.85
Expected goals
1.01
アヤックスヘーレンフェーン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アヤックス signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヘーレンフェーン signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

アヤックス vs ヘーレンフェーン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アヤックス 勝ち 62%,引き分け 22%,ヘーレンフェーン 勝ち 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · オーバー 2.5 54% · Current selection オーバー