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NLD Hollandia - Eredivisie · Mérkőzés ·

Ajax vs Heerenveen

Archived pre-match prediction

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem62%
Döntetlen22%
Vendég győzelem16%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem62% selection probability
Projected score2–1AjaxHeerenveen
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett54% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
62% / 22% / 16%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Heerenveen win (16%)Dupla esély1X84%1.19
Felett 54% · Alatt 46%Goals 2.5Felett54%1.85
Igen 54% · Nem 46%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen54%1.85
2.86 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
10.0 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapAjax winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ajax win62%1.611.5062.6%-0.6 pp
Döntetlen22%4.554.3321.7%+0.3 pp
Heerenveen win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ajax1.85

Hazai share of expected goals 64.7%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 54% · Alatt 46%

Heerenveen1.01

Vendég share of expected goals 35.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 54% · Nem 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Ajax

3.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontok15

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Heerenveen

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Nyert probability excluding draw
16%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.85
Expected goals
1.01
AjaxHeerenveen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ajax signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Heerenveen signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ajax vs Heerenveen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ajax nyer 62%,Döntetlen 22%,Heerenveen nyer 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · 2.5 felett 54% · Current selection Felett