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NLD Nederland - Eredivisie · Wedstrijd ·

Fortuna Sittard vs SC Cambuur Leeuwarden

Archived pre-match prediction

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst53%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst23%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Fortuna SittardSC Cambuur Leeuwarden
Expected goals3.08Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
53% / 23% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Dubbele Kans1276.6%1.31
Boven 59% · Onder 41%Goals 2.5Boven59%1.69
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
3.08 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fortuna Sittard win53%1.891.7353.9%
Gelijkspel23%4.354.0023.3%
SC Cambuur Leeuwarden win23%4.354.1022.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fortuna Sittard1.85

Thuis share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals3.08Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 59% · Onder 41%

SC Cambuur Leeuwarden1.23

Uit share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Fortuna Sittard

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

SC Cambuur Leeuwarden

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.85
Expected goals
1.23
Fortuna SittardSC Cambuur Leeuwarden
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fortuna Sittard signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Cambuur Leeuwarden signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Fortuna Sittard vs SC Cambuur Leeuwarden FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fortuna Sittard gewonnen 53%,Gelijkspel 23%,SC Cambuur Leeuwarden gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Boven 2.5 59% · Current selection Boven