Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 27% / 22%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Sociedad B win (22.2%)Double chance1X77.8%1.29
Over 31% · Under 69%Goals 2.5Under69%1.45
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
1.96 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapReal Sociedad B winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Burgos win50%2.001.8550.1%-0.1 pp
Draw27%3.703.4027.3%-0.3 pp
Real Sociedad B win22%4.554.1022.6%-0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 67.3%
Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 31% · Under 69%
Away share of expected goals 32.7%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchBurgos
LWWDW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchReal Sociedad B
WLLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Win probability excluding draw
22%10
Points from supplied form
61.32
Expected goals
0.64BurgosReal Sociedad B
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Burgos vs Real Sociedad B FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Burgos win 50%，Draw 27%，Real Sociedad B win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.96 · Over 2.5 31% · Current selection Under。