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ESP Испания - Сегунда · Мач ·

Бургос vs Реал Сосиедад Б

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.96 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина50%
Равен27%
Победа за госта22%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина50% selection probability
Projected score1–1БургосРеал Сосиедад Б
Expected goals1.96Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под69% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
50% / 27% / 22%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Реал Сосиедад Б win (22.2%)Двоен шанс1X77.8%1.29
Над 31% · Под 69%Goals 2.5Под69%1.45
Да 35% · Не 65%И двата отбора да отбележатНе65%1.54
1.96 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapРеал Сосиедад Б winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бургос win50%2.001.8550.1%-0.1 pp
Равен27%3.703.4027.3%-0.3 pp
Реал Сосиедад Б win22%4.554.1022.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бургос1.32

Домакин share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 31% · Под 69%

Реал Сосиедад Б0.64

Гост share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 35% · Не 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Бургос

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Реал Сосиедад Б

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
0.64
БургосРеал Сосиедад Б
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бургос signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Реал Сосиедад Б signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Бургос vs Реал Сосиедад Б FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бургос печеливш 50%,Равен 27%,Реал Сосиедад Б печеливш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.96 · Над 2.5 31% · Current selection Под