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ESP Spain Segunda · Maç ·

Burgos vs Real Sociedad B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.96 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır50%
Beraberlik27%
Deplasman kazanır22%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır50% selection probability
Projected score1–1BurgosReal Sociedad B
Expected goals1.96Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt69% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
50% / 27% / 22%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Sociedad B win (22.2%)Çifte Şans1X77.8%1.29
Üst 31% · Alt 69%Goals 2.5Alt69%1.45
Evet 35% · Hayır 65%Karşılıklı gol varHayır65%1.54
1.96 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.3 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapReal Sociedad B winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Burgos win50%2.001.8550.1%-0.1 pp
Beraberlik27%3.703.4027.3%-0.3 pp
Real Sociedad B win22%4.554.1022.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Burgos1.32

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 31% · Alt 69%

Real Sociedad B0.64

Deplasman share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 35% · Hayır 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Burgos

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Real Sociedad B

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
0.64
BurgosReal Sociedad B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Burgos signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Sociedad B signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Burgos vs Real Sociedad B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Burgos kazanç 50%,Beraberlik 27%,Real Sociedad B kazanç 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.96 · 2.5 Üst 31% · Current selection Alt