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ESP Spain Segunda · Maç ·

Mallorca vs AD Ceuta

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.61 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır44%
Beraberlik26%
Deplasman kazanır30%
Baseline forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır44% selection probability
Projected score1–1MallorcaAD Ceuta
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt52% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
44% / 26% / 30%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Çifte Şans1273.9%1.35
Üst 48% · Alt 52%Goals 2.5Alt52%1.92
Evet 52% · Hayır 48%Karşılıklı gol varEvet52%1.92
2.61 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.8 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Mallorca win44%2.27
Beraberlik26%3.85
AD Ceuta win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mallorca1.45

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 48% · Alt 52%

AD Ceuta1.16

Deplasman share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 52% · Hayır 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Mallorca

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

AD Ceuta

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.45
Expected goals
1.16
MallorcaAD Ceuta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mallorca signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Ceuta signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mallorca kazanç 44%,Beraberlik 26%,AD Ceuta kazanç 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · 2.5 Üst 48% · Current selection Alt