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ESP Spanyolország - Segunda · Mérkőzés ·

Burgos vs Real Sociedad B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–11.96 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem50%
Döntetlen27%
Vendég győzelem22%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem50% selection probability
Projected score1–1BurgosReal Sociedad B
Expected goals1.96Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt69% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
50% / 27% / 22%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Sociedad B win (22.2%)Dupla esély1X77.8%1.29
Felett 31% · Alatt 69%Goals 2.5Alatt69%1.45
Igen 35% · Nem 65%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem65%1.54
1.96 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.3 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapReal Sociedad B winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Burgos win50%2.001.8550.1%-0.1 pp
Döntetlen27%3.703.4027.3%-0.3 pp
Real Sociedad B win22%4.554.1022.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Burgos1.32

Hazai share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 31% · Alatt 69%

Real Sociedad B0.64

Vendég share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 35% · Nem 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Burgos

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Real Sociedad B

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontok6

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Nyert probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
0.64
BurgosReal Sociedad B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Burgos signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Sociedad B signalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Burgos vs Real Sociedad B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Burgos nyer 50%,Döntetlen 27%,Real Sociedad B nyer 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.96 · 2.5 felett 31% · Current selection Alatt