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ESP Espagne - LaLiga2 · Match ·

Burgos vs Real Sociedad B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.96 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile50%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur22%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile50% selection probability
Projected score1–1BurgosReal Sociedad B
Expected goals1.96Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de69% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
50% / 27% / 22%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Sociedad B win (22.2%)Double chance1X77.8%1.29
Plus de 31% · Moins de 69%Goals 2.5Moins de69%1.45
Oui 35% · Non 65%Les deux équipes marquentNon65%1.54
1.96 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapReal Sociedad B winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Burgos win50%2.001.8550.1%-0.1 pp
Nul27%3.703.4027.3%-0.3 pp
Real Sociedad B win22%4.554.1022.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Burgos1.32

Domicile share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 31% · Moins de 69%

Real Sociedad B0.64

Extérieur share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 35% · Non 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Burgos

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Real Sociedad B

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gagné probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
0.64
BurgosReal Sociedad B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Burgos signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Sociedad B signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Burgos vs Real Sociedad B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Burgos victoire 50%,Nul 27%,Real Sociedad B victoire 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.96 · Plus de 2.5 31% · Current selection Moins de