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ESP Испания - Сегунда · Матч ·

Бургос vs Реал Сосьедад Б

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.96 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев50%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей22%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев50% selection probability
Projected score1–1БургосРеал Сосьедад Б
Expected goals1.96Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше69% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
50% / 27% / 22%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Реал Сосьедад Б win (22.2%)Двойной шанс1X77.8%1.29
Больше 31% · Меньше 69%Goals 2.5Меньше69%1.45
Да 35% · Нет 65%Обе забьютНет65%1.54
1.96 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapРеал Сосьедад Б winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бургос win50%2.001.8550.1%-0.1 pp
Ничья27%3.703.4027.3%-0.3 pp
Реал Сосьедад Б win22%4.554.1022.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бургос1.32

Хозяева share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 31% · Меньше 69%

Реал Сосьедад Б0.64

Гости share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 35% · Нет 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Бургос

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Реал Сосьедад Б

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
0.64
БургосРеал Сосьедад Б
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бургос signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Реал Сосьедад Б signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Бургос vs Реал Сосьедад Б FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бургос выигрыш 50%,Ничья 27%,Реал Сосьедад Б выигрыш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.96 · ТБ 2.5 31% · Current selection Меньше