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ESP Испания - Сегунда · Матч ·

Сельта Фортуна vs ФК Кастельон

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.58 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев24%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей51%
Market-based forecastПобеда гостейTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Сельта ФортунаФК Кастельон
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
24% / 25% / 51%Исход матчаПобеда гостей51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сельта Фортуна win (23.8%)Двойной шансX276.2%1.31
Больше 48% · Меньше 52%Goals 2.5Меньше52%1.92
Да 52% · Нет 48%Обе забьютДа52%1.92
2.58 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сельта Фортуна win24%4.174.2022%
Ничья25%4.003.7524.6%
ФК Кастельон win51%1.961.7353.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сельта Фортуна1.10

Хозяева share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 48% · Меньше 52%

ФК Кастельон1.48

Гости share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Нет 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сельта Фортуна

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Кастельон

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
51%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.10
Expected goals
1.48
Сельта ФортунаФК Кастельон
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сельта Фортуна signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Кастельон signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Сельта Фортуна vs ФК Кастельон FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сельта Фортуна выигрыш 24%,Ничья 25%,ФК Кастельон выигрыш 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · ТБ 2.5 48% · Current selection Меньше