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ESP Spain Segunda · Fixture ·

Celta Fortuna vs CD Castellon

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.58 expected goals
Away form
Home win24%
Draw25%
Away win51%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Celta FortunaCD Castellon
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 25% / 51%Match resultAway win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Celta Fortuna win (23.8%)Double chanceX276.2%1.31
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.58 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Celta Fortuna win24%4.174.2022%
Draw25%4.003.7524.6%
CD Castellon win51%1.961.7353.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Celta Fortuna1.10

Home share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

CD Castellon1.48

Away share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Celta Fortuna

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

CD Castellon

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Win probability excluding draw
51%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.10
Expected goals
1.48
Celta FortunaCD Castellon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Celta Fortuna signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Castellon signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Celta Fortuna vs CD Castellon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Celta Fortuna win 24%,Draw 25%,CD Castellon win 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under