What is the Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 1–1 and a selected-call probability of 37%.

What are the Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin 1X2 probabilities?

Zaglebie Lubin win 37%, draw 29%, and Pogon Szczecin win 34%.

How many goals are expected in Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?

The displayed projection is 2.16 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 37%.

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UTC+8

POL Poland Ekstraklasa · Fixture · Sun, Aug 30, 02:15

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin

Full model forecast，stats and analysis

Home form

Projected score1–12.16 expected goals

Away form

Home win37%

Draw29%

Away win34%

Full model forecastHome winTier A · 37% selection probability

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win37% selection probability

Projected score1–1Zaglebie Lubin — Pogon Szczecin

Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile

Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side

Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side

Expected corners9.8Over 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

37% / 29% / 34%Match resultHome win37%2.70

Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Double chance1271.2%1.40

Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59

Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75

2.16 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——

9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.9%Largest probability gapPogon Szczecin winDifference-1.3 pp

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Zaglebie Lubin win37%2.702.5536%+1.0 pp

Draw29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp

Pogon Szczecin win34%2.942.6035.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zaglebie Lubin1.27

Home share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%

Pogon Szczecin0.89

Away share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Zaglebie Lubin

2.00pts / match

Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Pogon Szczecin

1.40pts / match

Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

37%

Win probability excluding draw

34%

Points from supplied form

1.27

Expected goals

0.89

Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zaglebie Lubin signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Szczecin signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions